Is Labour snatching defeat from the jaws of Victorysaurus?
Electors unimpressed with Finance Minister Bill English’s Fifth Budget as National Party 41% (down 3%) now well behind Labour/ Greens 47% (up 3%)This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section of 1,057 electors from May 13-26, 2013. Of all electors surveyed 5% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.
Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a big fall in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 41% (down 3% since April 29-May 12, 2013). Support for Key’s Coalition partners is slightly down overall with the Maori Party 2% (unchanged), ACT NZ 0.5% (down 1%) and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).
Support for Labour is 35% (up 3%); Greens are 12% (unchanged), New Zealand First 4.5% (down 0.5%), Mana Party 0.5% (down 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 2.5% (up 1%) and Others 1.5% (up 1%).
If a National Election were held now the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows an Opposition Labour/ Greens Coalition would win.
Acknowledgment: Roy Morgan
That was the poll result for Roy Morgan, at the end of May this year. Only two weeks ago. As polls go, Roy Morgan is one of the more accurate ones. It is also the only one known to phone respondants on both landlines and cellphones – making it more representative of the electorate at large.
So things are looking up for a new, progressive government, post-2014 (if not earlier).
But only if Labour doesn’t keep f*****g things up like this incident last week,
Acknowledgement: Fairfax Media – Key slams Labour for SkyCity hospitality
After slamming the dodgy nature of Key’s dealings with Skycity Casino, which will see an upward spike in numbers of dangerous, addictive “pokies”, Labour had set itself on a moral high-ground. This is a community problem (I refuse to call it an “issue”) and Labour was firmly on the side of communities around the country
It was a position that most New Zealanders probably felt a considerable degree of sympathy with.
Unfortunately, in a brainfart of Jupiter-sized proportions, four senior, long-term Labour MPs then accepted hospitality from Skycity to attend a rugby match at Mt Eden – at Skycity’s corporate box.
The staggering hypocritical nature of Labour’s presence at Skycity’s corporate box cannot be under-stated. In this respect, criticism from Key; newspaper editorials; columnists, right-wing bloggers, et al, is absolutely warranted.
This was a major mis-step by expereienced MPs who should have known better.
What on Earth were they thinking?
Did they think that no one would notice?
Did they think that no one would tip-off media or right-wing bloggers?
Is there no one at the Labour Parliamentary Office who paused; pondered; and presaged that this was not a terribly flash idea?
This has more than the a whiff of hypocrisy; this reinforces public perceptions that politicians are “all the same”. Incidents like this put people off from participating in the democratic process. After all, why should people be bothered to get out and vote if, really, there’s bugger-all difference between government and opposition parties?!
In case any Labour MPs are reading this, I leave him/her with these three points to ponder,
- This election is yours to lose. And if you’re that dead-keen to lose it, feel free to keep behaving like this.
- Unlike National voters, centre-left voters have alternatives to choose from. Note that the Greens and Mana are options clearly printed on the Ballot paper. Capicé?
- In this instance, right wing blogs are fully justified in their criticism of such stupid decisions. More power to their arms, on this issue, because by the gods, those Labour MPs thouroughly deserve a bollicking over this.
I think I speak for many other progressive bloggers when I say to Labour; lift your game, dammit!
= fs =