ACT on polling – naughty, naughty, chaps!
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Naughty Mat for ACT!
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Searching for details on a previous blogpost, this blogger came across this interesting poll result on stuff.co.nz,
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Making my vote, the Poll showed me the following results,
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Interestingly, the poll results for Labour, Greens, National, Mana, Maori Party, and United Future more or less mirror the 2011 election results.
2011 Election Results
National: 47.31%
Labour: 27.48%
Greens: 11.06%
Mana: 1.08%
Maori Party: 1.43%
United Future: 0.60%
No surprises with those figures.
NZ First polled higher than their Election Result of 6.59%.
The figures for NZ First may be easily understand as a nationalistic response to the current government’s policies on partial asset sales and the sale of farmland to offshore investors. (Though whether the Stuff poll translates into success at the Ballot box is another matter entirely.)
The real surprise is ACT’s result on the Stuff poll; 6.4%.
Really? 6.4%?!
No, I don’t think, so, my fellow Kiwis.
ACT’s election result was a meagre 1.07%. Recent polls by Roy Morgan and News Reid has ACT barely registering,
Roy Morgan: 0.3%
News Reid: 0.2%
Which indicates to this blogger that some naughty ACT apparatchiks have been “stuffing Stuff’s electronic ballot box”, by voting multiple times. Naughty boys. Off to the naughty mat with you – and don’t come out until Election Day!
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= fs =
Frank,
Dunno why you’re worried. All electronic polling where there is a choice on whether to participate, reset your cookies and vote twice or whatever have no credibility whatsoever. They are complete random number generators. Most ACT supporters can’t read for instance, and the one that could obviously voted multiple times.
The methodologies of normal polling are pretty dubious as well, but an on-line poll on a newspaper site not everyone bothers with, if it looks anything like last year’s election results at all, that is quite amazing.
Now back to the important questions for on-line polling – Justin Bieber’s haircut, and whether God exists or not. They are small distractions not worthy of anyone’s serious time, thought or energy.
The right answers are Greens, Bald and Vishnu.
Heh heh heh, not so much ‘worried’, Mathew as mildly amused…
Every so often, I like to make one of those lighter, “eye rolling” posts. Kinda similar to the one I made about ACT’s website showing the same MPs they had post-election as prior. It took them months to update their website. Which raises the question as to just how efficient neo-liberals really are; http://fmacskasy.wordpress.com/2011/12/10/act-woefully-behind-the-times/
Sometimes, I think it’s worth a snigger or a giggle.
It looks to me like the sort of anomaly that can arise with very small sample sizes such as this poll. That 6.4% represents only 9 votes out of 140. Most polls of this nature have a sample size over 1000. IMHO this poll should never have been published. The too-small sample size renders it meaningless at best.
Yes, polls such as this are pretty much open to game playing – however, I think that all polls are pretty much nonsense!
Deb